January 2010 Archives

Today's 3 Twitter Posts

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Fri, 29 Jan 2010 23:12:45 : First time I've seen a car chase on stage - mind you first time I've seen a car chase in Romeo and Juliet too!
Fri, 29 Jan 2010 20:44:50 : At Derby Theatre for Oddsock's Romeo and Juliet - crazy as ever
Fri, 29 Jan 2010 17:28:45 : Signed the licence on the new Daden office today. End of 5 years of home-working is nigh. Weird.

Today's 3 Twitter Posts

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Mon, 25 Jan 2010 15:10:09 : #wn4vw - not so much Halting State, more Vernor Vinge Rainbows End
Mon, 25 Jan 2010 11:01:20 : #wn4vw facial vs spatial differentiation in social applications - Ralph Schroeder, Oxford Internet Institute
Mon, 25 Jan 2010 07:15:23 : On way down to #wn4vw then sleepover in London followed by first #pivote steering group meeting on Tuesday

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Fri, 22 Jan 2010 13:23:36 : Just installed an electricity consumption monitor - be interesting to see what we use and if it changes our habits

Today's Twitter Posts

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Fri, 15 Jan 2010 11:05:41 : Just finished meeting in #sl #teengrid - our use of bot push for putting the users off guard and directing their actions in trg worked well

Today's Twitter Posts

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Tue, 12 Jan 2010 16:49:04 : Any views on the best job boards to get creative/IT types in Birmingham? Monster, Twitjobs, Jobplot, LinkedIn? Others? Any good free ones?

Today's Twitter Posts

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Mon, 11 Jan 2010 14:03:01 : Daden is recruiting! 4 #jobs in #vw and #ai based out of our offices in #birmingham. http://www.daden.co.uk/pages/employment_at_daden.html

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Sat, 09 Jan 2010 13:31:39 : #kingsnorton #farmersmarket veg so fresh it's still got the snow from the farmers field on!


Erick Schonfeld at TechCrunch has an interesting blog post comparing Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality, based primarily on a Google Trends plot of both search terms in Google.

His conclusions:

  • Augmented Reality has now over taken Virtual Reality, and
  • "You can take your virtual reality and get lost on Second Life. I'll take augmented reality any day. It's just more real."

As Mark Kingdon's New Year post says though virtual worlds such as Second Life are likely to become even more real (Second Life HD - SLHD Mark calls it), and anyway:

  • The current killer apps for virtual worlds and augmented reality are different - the VW strength is in training and learning, collaboration and whole building and data visualisation, AR is currently in navigation and interpretation
  • Increasingly the two will blur - we will have more AR with VW, and be able to our VW on as a AR overlay on real-life (see Halting State by Charles Stross)

So in most respects while the "tension" between AR and VW is interesting to me it is ultimately pointless as the future involves both.

But then I looked at Erick's graph again. He plotted virtual reality against AR - which apart from being a poetic balance is actually the wrong thing. All my (and most other people's talk) is about virtual worlds. VR is very much the 70s/80s term - no wonder its declining on his graph - and the VW "bubble" was in 2006 well after his graph shows VR declining.

So I did my own Google Trends - plotting AR against not only VR but also "virtual worlds" - having checked of course that my AR/VR graph was the same as his. The result:

googletrends_ar_vr_vw.png

That looks a truer picture. VW steading growing with something of a step change around 2006 and then growing steady til it was overhualed bythe AR hype of mid 2009, but then actually taking AR back over (just) at the end of 2009!.

As ever lies, damn lies and statistics!

As I said earlier this isn't to say that VW is better than AR or more important - they are both going to be important and vital to the future - all we need to know is which to use for which application, and how to get them to work together.


Today's 3 Twitter Posts

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Wed, 06 Jan 2010 16:56:37 : Paid deposit on the new Daden office today - looks like we'll be in by the end of the month. Have to commute again after 5 years @home :-(
Wed, 06 Jan 2010 16:10:15 : #vw shake-out Metaplace in Dec 09, now "Forterra Systems Lays Off Half of Workforce, Could Be Sold in Near Future" http://www.3dtlc.net/
Wed, 06 Jan 2010 08:23:25 : "I was out in #sl and seen your chatbot, she even had me fooled into thinking it was another avatar for a good 15 mins" - Turing passed ?

Today's Twitter Posts

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Tue, 05 Jan 2010 14:59:18 : Weird, its snowing outside but both the projects I'm working on are for the Middle East!

Hubble Advent Calendar

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Today's Twitter Posts

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Fri, 01 Jan 2010 01:24:08 : Stunning views outside of snow covered mountains under a brilliant full moon - what a way to see the New Year in

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